Exam Use and Scope
Use this Quick Reference as independent review support for the FINRA Series 162 — Supervisory Analyst Qualification Examination (Part II: Valuation of Securities). It focuses on fast recall of valuation tools, financial-statement relationships, security characteristics, and judgment points that a supervisory analyst candidate may need when reviewing securities analysis.
High-yield mindset:
- Identify what security is being valued: common stock, preferred stock, bond, convertible, option, warrant, fund, or asset-backed security.
- Match the valuation method to the cash-flow claim: equity cash flows, firm cash flows, contractual bond cash flows, option payoffs, or relative market pricing.
- Check whether the model uses consistent inputs: nominal vs. real, pre-tax vs. after-tax, levered vs. unlevered, equity value vs. enterprise value.
- Watch for research-report plausibility: assumptions, peer group selection, earnings quality, nonrecurring items, conflicts, and unsupported conclusions.
Core Valuation Decision Map
flowchart TD
A[Security or issuer to value] --> B{Contractual cash flows?}
B -->|Yes| C[Fixed income / preferred / structured security]
B -->|No| D{Operating company equity?}
C --> E[Discount coupons, principal, call/put/convertible features]
D -->|Yes| F{Stable dividends or cash flows?}
D -->|No| G[Option, warrant, fund, commodity-linked, or special situation]
F -->|Stable dividends| H[Dividend discount model]
F -->|FCF visibility| I[DCF: FCFF or FCFE]
F -->|Limited forecast detail| J[Relative valuation multiples]
G --> K[Payoff, NAV, replication, or scenario analysis]
Time Value Basics
\[
PV = \frac{FV}{(1+r)^n}
\]\[
FV = PV(1+r)^n
\]\[
NPV = \sum_{t=1}^{n}\frac{CF_t}{(1+r)^t} - Initial\ Investment
\]
| Concept | Formula / Rule | Exam trap |
|---|
| Present value | PV = future cash flow discounted at required return | Higher discount rate lowers PV |
| Future value | FV = present amount compounded forward | Compounding frequency matters if given |
| Net present value | Sum of discounted cash flows minus initial outlay | Positive NPV means value exceeds cost |
| Internal rate of return | Discount rate that makes NPV = 0 | Multiple sign changes can create multiple IRRs |
| Holding period return | income plus price change / beginning price | Include both cash income and capital gain/loss |
| Total return | income return plus capital return | Do not confuse with yield alone |
| Real return approximation | nominal return - inflation | Exact real return uses ratio, not subtraction |
| Risk premium | expected return - risk-free rate | Use comparable maturity risk-free rate when specified |
Exact real return:
\[
Real\ Return = \frac{1 + Nominal\ Return}{1 + Inflation\ Rate} - 1
\]
Required Return and Cost of Capital
CAPM, WACC, and Growth
\[
Required\ Return = R_f + \beta(R_m - R_f)
\]\[
WACC = w_d r_d(1-T) + w_p r_p + w_e r_e
\]\[
Sustainable\ Growth = ROE \times Retention\ Ratio
\]
| Input | Meaning | Use | Common error |
|---|
| Risk-free rate | Return on default-free benchmark | CAPM, discount rate anchor | Using short-term rate for long-duration equity cash flows without reason |
| Beta | Systematic risk relative to market | CAPM cost of equity | Treating beta as total risk |
| Market risk premium | Expected market return minus risk-free rate | CAPM | Using market return itself instead of premium |
| Cost of debt | Yield required by creditors | WACC debt component | Forgetting tax shield if using after-tax WACC |
| Cost of preferred | Preferred dividend / net price | WACC preferred component | Treating preferred dividends as tax-deductible |
| Capital weights | Debt, preferred, equity proportions | WACC | Prefer market-value weights when available |
| Retention ratio | 1 - payout ratio | Sustainable growth | Using dividend payout instead of retained earnings share |
| ROE | Net income / common equity | Growth and profitability | ROE can rise because leverage rises |
Valuation Method Selection Matrix
| Method | Best for | Key inputs | Strengths | Weaknesses / traps |
|---|
| Dividend discount model | Mature dividend-paying companies | Expected dividends, required return, growth | Direct equity cash-flow model | Poor fit for no-dividend or irregular-dividend firms |
| Free cash flow to equity | Equity value after debt claims | FCFE, cost of equity | Captures cash available to common equity | Sensitive to leverage and reinvestment assumptions |
| Free cash flow to firm | Enterprise value | FCFF, WACC, terminal value | Useful when leverage may change | Must subtract net debt to get equity value |
| Comparable company multiples | Firms with relevant peers | Peer multiples, normalized metrics | Market-based and quick | Peer selection and accounting differences drive results |
| Precedent transaction multiples | M&A or control valuation | Deal values, control premiums | Reflects transaction pricing | May include synergies and takeover premiums |
| Sum-of-the-parts | Diversified companies | Segment values, segment multiples | Useful for conglomerates | Segment data may be limited |
| Asset-based valuation | Asset-heavy, liquidation, holding companies | Fair value of assets and liabilities | Useful floor value | May understate going-concern value |
| Residual income | Firms with book value relevance | Book value, ROE, cost of equity | Works when dividends are not meaningful | Accounting quality matters |
| Option pricing / scenario analysis | Embedded optionality, warrants, convertibles | Volatility, time, rates, exercise terms | Captures asymmetric payoffs | Inputs can be subjective |
Equity Valuation
Dividend Discount Models
\[
P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r-g}
\]
Use the Gordon growth model only when dividends are expected to grow at a stable rate and \(r > g\).
| Model | Formula / logic | Best use | Trap |
|---|
| Zero-growth dividend model | Value = dividend / required return | Perpetual level dividend | Assumes no growth forever |
| Gordon growth | P0 = D1 / (r - g) | Stable-growth dividend payer | Using D0 instead of D1 |
| Multi-stage DDM | PV of forecast dividends plus terminal value | Changing growth phases | Terminal value often drives most of value |
| H-model | Gradual decline from high to stable growth | Transition growth assumptions | Easy to overstate value with aggressive early growth |
High-yield DDM checks:
- If growth increases, value increases, all else equal.
- If required return increases, value decreases.
- If \(g\) approaches \(r\), model output becomes extremely sensitive.
- Dividend growth should not exceed economic growth indefinitely without a strong rationale.
Free Cash Flow Models
\[
Firm\ Value = \sum_{t=1}^{n}\frac{FCFF_t}{(1+WACC)^t} + \frac{Terminal\ Value_n}{(1+WACC)^n}
\]\[
Equity\ Value = Firm\ Value - Net\ Debt - Preferred\ Stock - Minority\ Interest + Nonoperating\ Assets
\]
| Cash flow | Plain formula | Discount rate | Value produced |
|---|
| FCFF | EBIT(1 - tax rate) + depreciation and amortization - capex - change in working capital | WACC | Enterprise value |
| FCFE | Net income + depreciation and amortization - capex - change in working capital + net borrowing | Cost of equity | Equity value |
| EBITDA | Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization | Not a cash-flow valuation by itself | Operating proxy |
| CFO | Cash flow from operations | Not a full free cash flow if capex omitted | Operating cash generation |
| FCF | Often CFO - capex | Depends on definition | Must verify definition used |
Common FCFF/FCFE traps:
- Do not discount FCFF at cost of equity; use WACC.
- Do not discount FCFE at WACC; use cost of equity.
- Do not subtract interest expense in FCFF if starting from EBIT and using WACC.
- Terminal value sensitivity is often the largest risk in a DCF.
- Use nominal cash flows with nominal discount rates and real cash flows with real discount rates.
Terminal Value
| Terminal approach | Plain formula / logic | Best for | Watch point |
|---|
| Perpetual growth | TV = next-period cash flow / (r - g) | Stable long-term company | Long-term g should be sustainable |
| Exit multiple | TV = terminal metric x terminal multiple | Market-comparable exit assumption | Multiple must match metric, such as EV/EBITDA |
| Liquidation value | Sale value of assets minus liabilities | Distress, runoff, asset-based cases | May ignore going-concern value |
Relative Equity Valuation Multiples
| Multiple | Formula | Best use | Interpretation / trap |
|---|
| P/E | price per share / EPS | Earnings-driven companies | A low P/E may reflect low growth or high risk, not undervaluation |
| Forward P/E | current price / expected EPS | Forecast-based comparison | Depends heavily on earnings estimates |
| PEG | P/E / earnings growth rate | Growth-normalized comparison | Growth rate convention must be consistent |
| P/B | price / book value per share | Banks, insurers, asset-heavy firms | Less useful when intangible assets dominate |
| P/S | price / sales per share | Low or negative earnings companies | Ignores margins and capital intensity |
| P/CF | price / cash flow per share | Cash-generative businesses | Cash flow definition must be checked |
| EV/EBITDA | enterprise value / EBITDA | Capital-structure-neutral comparison | Ignores capex, working capital, and taxes |
| EV/EBIT | enterprise value / operating income | More depreciation-aware than EBITDA | Accounting depreciation still matters |
| EV/Sales | enterprise value / sales | Early-stage or cyclical margin recovery | Very sensitive to future margin assumptions |
| Dividend yield | annual dividend / price | Income stocks | High yield may signal dividend risk |
Multiple matching rules:
| Numerator | Denominator should be | Example |
|---|
| Equity value or price | Equity metric after debt claims | P/E, P/B, P/CF |
| Enterprise value | Pre-interest operating metric | EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT, EV/Sales |
| Market cap | Common equity value | Price multiples |
| Firm value | Operating asset cash flow | FCFF-based DCF |
Earnings, Dilution, and Per-Share Analysis
| Concept | Formula / rule | High-yield point |
|---|
| Basic EPS | net income available to common / weighted average common shares | Uses actual common shares outstanding |
| Diluted EPS | net income adjusted for dilutive securities / diluted shares | Includes options, warrants, convertibles if dilutive |
| Net income available to common | net income - preferred dividends | Preferred dividends reduce common EPS |
| Stock split | Adjust historical shares and per-share data | Total firm value unchanged mechanically |
| Share repurchase | Fewer shares, often higher EPS | Value depends on price paid and funding |
| Convertible debt dilution | Add back after-tax interest; add conversion shares | Include only if dilutive |
| Convertible preferred dilution | Add back preferred dividends; add conversion shares | Include only if dilutive |
| Options/warrants dilution | Treasury stock method concept | In-the-money instruments can dilute |
Exam traps:
- EPS growth can come from buybacks, not operating growth.
- Dilution can reduce EPS even if net income is unchanged.
- Nonrecurring gains can inflate EPS and valuation multiples.
- Compare same EPS basis: trailing, forward, normalized, basic, or diluted.
Financial Statement Analysis
Income Statement Quality
| Item | Analyst question | Valuation effect |
|---|
| Revenue growth | Volume, price, mix, acquisitions, currency? | Organic growth is usually higher quality than acquisition-only growth |
| Gross margin | Cost pressure or pricing power? | Margin changes affect forecast earnings and terminal value |
| SG&A | Fixed-cost leverage or underinvestment? | Expense cuts may temporarily boost earnings |
| R&D | Expensed investment or discretionary cost? | Cutting R&D may hurt future growth |
| Depreciation | Economic wear or accounting estimate? | Affects EBIT, net income, and asset values |
| Interest expense | Financing risk? | Affects net income and coverage ratios |
| Tax rate | Sustainable or unusual? | Use normalized tax rate for forward valuation |
| Nonrecurring items | Truly nonrecurring? | Adjust normalized earnings and multiples |
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement
| Area | What to inspect | Common valuation issue |
|---|
| Cash and equivalents | Operating vs excess cash | Excess cash may be added separately to equity value |
| Receivables | Growth vs sales growth | Aggressive revenue recognition risk |
| Inventory | Turnover, obsolescence, method | Inventory buildup may signal demand weakness |
| PP&E | Age, maintenance capex needs | Underinvestment can overstate free cash flow |
| Goodwill/intangibles | Acquisition history, impairment risk | Book value may be less meaningful |
| Debt | Maturity, fixed/floating, covenants | Refinancing and rate risk affect value |
| Working capital | Changes in receivables, inventory, payables | Can consume cash even when earnings rise |
| Operating cash flow | Conversion of earnings to cash | Weak CFO relative to net income is a warning |
| Capital expenditures | Maintenance vs growth capex | FCF depends on sustainable capex assumption |
Core Ratios
| Category | Ratio | Formula | Interpretation |
|---|
| Liquidity | Current ratio | current assets / current liabilities | Short-term obligation coverage |
| Liquidity | Quick ratio | cash plus marketable securities plus receivables / current liabilities | Stricter liquidity test |
| Liquidity | Cash ratio | cash and equivalents / current liabilities | Most conservative liquidity measure |
| Leverage | Debt-to-equity | total debt / total equity | Financial leverage and equity risk |
| Leverage | Debt-to-capital | debt / debt plus equity | Capital structure measure |
| Leverage | Debt-to-EBITDA | debt / EBITDA | Debt burden relative to operating cash proxy |
| Coverage | Interest coverage | EBIT / interest expense | Ability to pay interest from operating income |
| Coverage | Fixed-charge coverage | earnings available for fixed charges / fixed charges | Broader than interest-only coverage |
| Profitability | Gross margin | gross profit / sales | Pricing power and production efficiency |
| Profitability | Operating margin | operating income / sales | Core operating profitability |
| Profitability | Net margin | net income / sales | Profit after all expenses |
| Profitability | ROA | net income / average assets | Asset profitability |
| Profitability | ROE | net income / average equity | Return to common equity holders |
| Efficiency | Asset turnover | sales / average assets | Revenue generated per asset dollar |
| Efficiency | Inventory turnover | cost of goods sold / average inventory | Inventory productivity |
| Efficiency | Receivables turnover | sales / average receivables | Collection efficiency |
| Efficiency | Days sales outstanding | 365 / receivables turnover | Collection period |
| Valuation | Earnings yield | EPS / price | Inverse of P/E |
| Valuation | Book value per share | common equity / common shares | Per-share accounting equity |
DuPont ROE
\[
ROE = Net\ Margin \times Asset\ Turnover \times Equity\ Multiplier
\]
| Driver | Improves ROE when | Risk if overused |
|---|
| Net margin | Company earns more per sales dollar | Margin may be cyclical or temporary |
| Asset turnover | Assets generate more sales | Asset base may be underinvested |
| Equity multiplier | More assets financed by liabilities | Higher leverage increases risk |
Accounting Adjustments and Comparability
| Issue | Effect on reported results | Analyst adjustment / exam point |
|---|
| LIFO vs FIFO | Inventory and COGS differ when prices change | In inflation, LIFO often gives higher COGS and lower income than FIFO |
| Capitalizing vs expensing | Capitalizing raises current income and assets | Aggressive capitalization can overstate profitability |
| Depreciation method | Accelerated depreciation lowers early income | Compare firms using different asset lives/methods carefully |
| Operating leases / lease obligations | Lease commitments may resemble debt | Include lease burden in leverage analysis when relevant |
| Deferred taxes | Timing differences between book and tax | Not all deferred tax balances reverse soon |
| Pension assumptions | Discount rate and return assumptions affect expense | Optimistic assumptions can inflate earnings |
| Goodwill impairment | Noncash charge after acquisition value decline | May signal overpayment or poor acquisition performance |
| Stock-based compensation | Noncash expense but dilutive | Ignoring it may overstate economic earnings |
| Restructuring charges | May be recurring in practice | Repeated “one-time” charges deserve skepticism |
| Acquisition accounting | Purchase price allocation affects depreciation/amortization | Compare organic vs acquired growth |
Fixed Income Valuation
Bond Price and Yield Relationships
\[
Bond\ Price = \sum_{t=1}^{n}\frac{Coupon_t}{(1+y)^t} + \frac{Principal}{(1+y)^n}
\]
| Relationship | Rule |
|---|
| Market yield rises | Existing bond price falls |
| Market yield falls | Existing bond price rises |
| Coupon rate equals yield | Bond trades near par |
| Coupon rate above yield | Bond trades at premium |
| Coupon rate below yield | Bond trades at discount |
| Longer maturity | More price sensitivity, all else equal |
| Lower coupon | More price sensitivity, all else equal |
| Higher credit risk | Higher required yield, lower price |
Yield Measures
| Yield measure | Formula / logic | Best use | Trap |
|---|
| Nominal yield | coupon rate on par | Describes stated coupon | Not the investor’s market return unless bought at par |
| Current yield | annual coupon / market price | Current income approximation | Ignores maturity value and reinvestment |
| Yield to maturity | IRR if held to maturity and paid as promised | Standard bond return measure | Assumes reinvestment and no default |
| Yield to call | IRR if called on call date | Callable premium bonds | Often more relevant when call is likely |
| Yield to worst | Lowest yield among call/maturity scenarios | Conservative callable bond measure | Depends on embedded options |
| Tax-equivalent yield | tax-exempt yield / (1 - tax rate) | Compare taxable and tax-exempt yields | Use investor’s relevant tax rate if supplied |
| Real yield | nominal yield adjusted for inflation | Inflation-adjusted return | Use consistent inflation assumption |
Duration and Convexity
\[
Approximate\ Price\ Change\ \% \approx -Modified\ Duration \times Yield\ Change
\]
| Concept | Meaning | Exam point |
|---|
| Macaulay duration | Weighted average time to cash flows | Expressed in years |
| Modified duration | Price sensitivity to yield change | Higher duration means larger price move |
| Effective duration | Duration adjusted for embedded options | Useful for callable/putable bonds |
| Convexity | Curvature of price-yield relationship | Positive convexity helps when rates move significantly |
| Negative convexity | Price appreciation limited when rates fall | Common in callable and mortgage-backed securities |
Duration traps:
- Duration is not maturity, though related.
- A zero-coupon bond’s duration equals its maturity.
- Callable bonds may have shorter effective duration when rates fall.
- Price-yield relationship is inverse and nonlinear.
Credit and Structural Features
| Feature | Investor effect | Valuation impact |
|---|
| Senior secured debt | Priority claim on specific collateral | Lower required yield than subordinated debt, all else equal |
| Senior unsecured debt | Priority over subordinated but no specific collateral | Depends on issuer credit quality |
| Subordinated debt | Lower claim priority | Higher required yield |
| Callable bond | Issuer can redeem early | Investor faces reinvestment risk; price upside limited |
| Putable bond | Investor can sell back to issuer | Investor protection; lower yield than comparable nonputable |
| Sinking fund | Scheduled principal retirement | Can reduce credit risk but create reinvestment risk |
| Floating-rate note | Coupon resets with reference rate | Lower interest-rate duration than fixed-rate debt |
| Zero-coupon bond | No periodic coupon, issued at discount | High duration and reinvestment risk is absent before maturity |
| Inflation-linked bond | Principal/coupon tied to inflation measure | Protects purchasing power, but real-rate risk remains |
Preferred Stock, Convertibles, Warrants, and Options
Preferred Stock
| Preferred feature | Meaning | Valuation point |
|---|
| Fixed dividend | Stated dividend, often based on par | Value resembles perpetuity if nonmaturing |
| Cumulative | Missed dividends accrue before common dividends | More protective than noncumulative |
| Noncumulative | Missed dividends do not accrue | More issuer-friendly |
| Participating | May share in additional earnings/dividends | Upside feature |
| Convertible preferred | Can convert into common stock | Value includes income plus conversion option |
| Callable preferred | Issuer may redeem | Limits upside when rates fall |
Perpetual preferred approximation:
\[
Preferred\ Value = \frac{Annual\ Dividend}{Required\ Return}
\]
Convertible Securities
| Concept | Formula / rule | Meaning |
|---|
| Conversion ratio | par value / conversion price | Shares received upon conversion |
| Conversion value | stock price x conversion ratio | Value if converted now |
| Conversion premium | convertible price - conversion value | Extra paid for bond value and option value |
| Parity price | convertible price / conversion ratio | Stock price at which conversion value equals convertible price |
| Investment value | value as straight bond or preferred | Downside support if conversion option is out of money |
Convertible traps:
- Convertibles combine credit risk, interest-rate risk, and equity option exposure.
- As stock price rises, convertible behaves more like equity.
- As stock price falls, convertible behaves more like a bond, subject to issuer credit quality.
- Call features can force conversion if the common stock has appreciated.
Options and Warrants
| Position | Payoff at expiration | Risk profile |
|---|
| Long call | max(0, stock price - strike) | Limited loss to premium; upside exposure |
| Short call | premium minus call payoff | Potentially large loss if uncovered |
| Long put | max(0, strike - stock price) | Downside protection or bearish exposure |
| Short put | premium minus put payoff | Obligation to buy at strike; downside risk |
| Warrant | Long-term right to buy issuer stock | Dilutive if exercised |
| Option input | Call value effect | Put value effect | Exam point |
|---|
| Stock price rises | Increases | Decreases | Directional exposure |
| Strike price rises | Decreases | Increases | Exercise terms matter |
| Volatility rises | Increases | Increases | Optionality benefits from volatility |
| Time to expiration rises | Usually increases | Usually increases | More time for favorable movement |
| Interest rates rise | Usually increases | Usually decreases | Cost-of-carry relationship |
| Dividends rise | Usually decreases | Usually increases | Dividends reduce stock price on ex-date |
Greeks quick check:
| Greek | Measures | Long call typical sign | Long put typical sign |
|---|
| Delta | Price sensitivity to underlying | Positive | Negative |
| Gamma | Change in delta | Positive | Positive |
| Theta | Time decay | Negative | Negative |
| Vega | Volatility sensitivity | Positive | Positive |
| Rho | Interest-rate sensitivity | Positive | Negative |
| Indicator | Typical interpretation | Securities-analysis effect |
|---|
| Upward-sloping yield curve | Longer rates above shorter rates | Normal expansion/term premium signal |
| Flat yield curve | Little difference between short and long rates | Transition or uncertainty signal |
| Inverted yield curve | Short rates above long rates | Often associated with tighter monetary conditions |
| Rising inflation expectations | Higher nominal yields | Can pressure equity multiples and bond prices |
| Falling rates | Higher bond prices, lower discount rates | May support long-duration equities |
| Strong economic growth | Better revenues and credit conditions | Cyclical sectors may benefit |
| Weak economic growth | Earnings pressure, credit stress | Defensive sectors may outperform |
| Strong currency | Hurts exporters’ translated earnings | Helps importers and foreign purchasing power |
| Commodity price rise | Helps producers, hurts users | Margin impact depends on pass-through ability |
Nominal rate decomposition:
\[
Nominal\ Rate \approx Real\ Rate + Expected\ Inflation + Risk\ Premiums
\]
Industry and Company Analysis
Industry Life Cycle
| Stage | Traits | Valuation emphasis |
|---|
| Introduction | Low profits, high uncertainty | Revenue growth, addressable market, funding |
| Growth | Rapid sales expansion | Growth sustainability, margins, reinvestment |
| Maturity | Stable demand and margins | Cash flow, dividends, multiples |
| Decline | Shrinking demand | Asset value, restructuring, runoff cash flows |
Sector Sensitivity
| Sector / issuer type | Sensitive to | Analysis focus |
|---|
| Banks | Credit quality, rates, capital, yield curve | Net interest margin, loan losses, book value |
| Insurers | Underwriting, reserves, investment portfolio | Combined ratio, reserve adequacy, investment yield |
| Utilities | Rates, regulation, capex, leverage | Dividend stability, allowed returns, debt burden |
| Industrials | Economic cycle, input costs, orders | Backlog, margins, operating leverage |
| Technology | Innovation, scale, competition | Growth, retention, R&D, margins |
| Energy | Commodity prices, reserves, capex | Production, reserve replacement, cash costs |
| REITs | Rates, occupancy, rent growth | Funds from operations, leverage, property type |
| Consumer staples | Volume, brand strength, input costs | Pricing power and defensive cash flows |
| Consumer discretionary | Employment, confidence, credit | Cyclical revenue and margin risk |
| Healthcare | Pipeline, reimbursement, regulation | Product concentration and R&D outcomes |
Funds, Portfolio Measures, and Risk
| Concept | Formula / definition | Use |
|---|
| NAV per share | fund assets minus liabilities / shares outstanding | Fund valuation baseline |
| Total return | distributions plus NAV change / beginning NAV | Fund performance |
| Standard deviation | Dispersion of returns | Total risk measure |
| Beta | Market sensitivity | Systematic risk measure |
| Alpha | Return above expected return for risk | Manager value-added measure |
| Sharpe ratio | excess return / standard deviation | Return per unit of total risk |
| Treynor ratio | excess return / beta | Return per unit of systematic risk |
| Tracking error | volatility of active return | Index-relative risk |
| Information ratio | active return / tracking error | Active management efficiency |
Portfolio traps:
- Diversification reduces unsystematic risk, not necessarily systematic risk.
- Correlation drives diversification benefit.
- Higher return is not better unless adjusted for risk.
- Compare manager returns to an appropriate benchmark.
Technical and Market Indicators
| Indicator | What it measures | Common interpretation |
|---|
| Moving average | Smoothed price trend | Price above average may suggest uptrend |
| Relative strength | Performance vs benchmark or peers | Identifies leadership/laggards |
| RSI | Momentum oscillator | Extreme readings may indicate overbought/oversold conditions |
| MACD | Trend and momentum | Crossovers may signal trend changes |
| Advance-decline line | Market breadth | Divergence can warn of weak participation |
| Volume | Trading activity | Price moves on high volume may carry more significance |
| Support | Price level where buying may emerge | Break below support can be bearish |
| Resistance | Price level where selling may emerge | Break above resistance can be bullish |
Exam caution: technical indicators are market-analysis tools, not guarantees of intrinsic value.
Supervisory Analyst Review Lens
When reviewing valuation work, ask whether the analysis is internally consistent, supportable, and clearly distinguished from opinion.
| Review area | Questions to ask |
|---|
| Recommendation basis | Is the conclusion tied to data, valuation, and assumptions? |
| Price target | Is the time horizon clear? Is the method identified? |
| Assumptions | Are growth, margins, discount rates, and multiples supportable? |
| Peer group | Are peers comparable in business mix, size, growth, margins, and leverage? |
| Forecasts | Are estimates consistent with industry conditions and company capacity? |
| Risk disclosure | Are material downside risks identified? |
| Earnings quality | Are nonrecurring and accounting-driven items adjusted? |
| Conflicts | Are relevant conflicts handled under the firm’s policies and applicable standards? |
| Terminology | Are “buy,” “hold,” “sell,” “outperform,” or similar terms defined consistently? |
| Math | Do per-share values, share counts, enterprise value bridges, and multiples reconcile? |
Common Series 162 Valuation Traps
| Trap | Correct approach |
|---|
| Using enterprise value with net income | Match enterprise value with pre-interest operating metrics |
| Using equity value with EBITDA | Use EV/EBITDA, not P/EBITDA, unless explicitly justified |
| Discounting FCFF at cost of equity | FCFF is discounted at WACC |
| Discounting FCFE at WACC | FCFE is discounted at cost of equity |
| Mixing real cash flows with nominal discount rate | Match real with real, nominal with nominal |
| Treating accounting earnings as cash flow | Adjust for noncash charges, capex, and working capital |
| Ignoring dilution | Use diluted shares when valuing common equity if dilutive securities matter |
| Confusing coupon rate and yield | Coupon is stated interest; yield depends on market price |
| Assuming high dividend yield is safe | High yield may reflect expected dividend cut or price decline |
| Treating book value as market value | Book value is accounting-based and may differ materially |
| Ignoring capital structure | Leverage changes risk, EPS, ROE, and valuation |
| Using trailing multiples for turnaround firms without adjustment | Normalize earnings and margins when justified |
| Overweighting terminal value | Stress-test terminal growth and exit multiple assumptions |
| Comparing companies with different accounting policies | Adjust or acknowledge comparability limits |
| Confusing correlation and causation | Market relationships need economic support |
Rapid Calculation Checklist
Before answering a valuation calculation item:
- Identify claim type: debt, preferred, common equity, enterprise, option.
- Choose correct cash flow: coupon, dividend, FCFF, FCFE, EPS, EBITDA, NAV.
- Choose correct discount rate: YTM, required return, cost of equity, WACC.
- Check timing: D0 vs D1, beginning vs ending value, annual vs quarterly.
- Check units: per share vs total value, percent vs decimal, millions vs shares.
- Match numerator and denominator: EV with operating metric, price with equity metric.
- Adjust for debt and cash when bridging enterprise value to equity value.
- Use diluted shares if per-share equity value is requested and dilution is relevant.
- Normalize earnings if the question gives nonrecurring items.
- Evaluate reasonableness: sign, direction, premium/discount, and sensitivity.
Practical Next Step
Use this Quick Reference to drill mixed valuation questions: one equity DCF, one relative valuation, one bond price/yield item, one ratio interpretation set, and one supervisory review scenario. Then review every missed question by identifying the mismatched input, formula, or assumption that caused the error.